Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.265081 0.307875 0.357029 0.418034 0.492227 0.580180 0.693309
2025-08-10 0.199050 0.252967 0.322246 0.419378 0.554642 0.740342 1.021811
2025-08-17 0.161250 0.218354 0.297882 0.420004 0.608939 0.901180 1.411120
2025-08-24 0.135705 0.192824 0.277459 0.417133 0.652643 1.055722 1.852856
2025-08-31 0.116562 0.172096 0.258595 0.410085 0.684823 1.198513 2.337043
2025-09-07 0.105448 0.161279 0.252374 0.421169 0.749748 1.420947 3.096078
2025-09-14 0.093390 0.146841 0.237318 0.412749 0.774720 1.571512 3.778397
2025-09-21 0.085393 0.137885 0.229960 0.416651 0.825030 1.795841 4.800902
2025-09-28 0.078047 0.128973 0.221129 0.415556 0.863958 2.008730 5.952468
2025-10-05 0.073445 0.124287 0.219311 0.428324 0.938405 2.346469 7.825640
2025-10-12 0.069046 0.119374 0.216236 0.437631 1.007333 2.702624 10.155301
2025-10-19 0.065063 0.114737 0.212984 0.445812 1.076130 3.095265 13.151198
2025-10-26 0.061774 0.111158 0.211597 0.458726 1.164602 3.613643 17.661052
2025-11-02 0.058068 0.106339 0.206950 0.462877 1.230081 4.095688 22.940905
2025-11-09 0.054546 0.101502 0.201596 0.464188 1.288021 4.591995 29.534575
2025-11-16 0.051093 0.096440 0.195058 0.461082 1.331145 5.060528 37.282516
2025-11-23 0.047690 0.091138 0.187300 0.453151 1.355627 5.466196 45.858600
2025-11-30 0.045860 0.089037 0.186769 0.465680 1.459842 6.372501 64.256796
2025-12-07 0.042940 0.084260 0.179221 0.456169 1.477253 6.822707 78.932978
2025-12-14 0.041027 0.081550 0.176422 0.460577 1.553153 7.707587 107.169994
2025-12-21 0.038987 0.078369 0.172065 0.459340 1.605961 8.510201 141.291396
2025-12-28 0.037842 0.077135 0.172527 0.473772 1.735088 10.024957 213.483332
2026-01-04 0.036588 0.075529 0.171821 0.484298 1.852488 11.634179 320.831524